She-naynay - Psychic Friends Network
Now that the season's over, it's time to take a look back at the preseason predictions. Here's some interesting analysis of the predictions. We'll try to do better next time!
WIN TOTALS
MOST ACCURATE PREDICTIONS
1. Cincinnati (Correctly Predicted Win Total)
2. Boise (Prediction off by 1 win)
3. Burlington, Boston, Florida, Kansas City, New York (NL), Memphis (Prediction off by 2 wins)
4. San Diego, Huntington (Prediction off by 3 wins)
5. Fargo, Arizona, Houston (Prediction off by 5 wins)
MOST UNDERRATED TEAMS (Teams who beat their predicted win total by the most wins)
1. Mexico City (27 wins)
2. Rochester (14 wins)
3. Buffalo (12 wins)
4. Sacramento, New York (AL) (7 wins)
5. Monterrey, Honolulu (6 wins)
MOST OVERRATED TEAMS (Teams who missed their predicted win total by the most wins)
1. Sioux Falls, Lousville (21 wins)
2. Cheyenne (17 wins)
3. Ottawa, Philadelphia (16 wins)
4. Oklahoma City (11 wins)
5. Durham (10 wins)
Average Number of Games each prediction was off by: 8.4
DIVISION STANDINGS
Prediction for Order of Standings Correct For the Entire Division: AL East, AL West, NL South, NL West
Prediction for Order of Standings Incorrect for the Entire Division: AL North, NL East
Number of Teams where the Order of Finish was correctly predicted: 20
Division Winners Correctly Predicted: 6 (AL East and NL East picks were wrong)
Teams Picked to Finish Last, but Finished First: New York (AL)
Teams Picked to Finish First, but Finished Last: None
PLAYOFFS
# of playoff teams correctly predicted: 9 (5 NL, 4 AL)
Teams that made the playoffs that weren’t predicted to: Honolulu, New York (AL), Monterrey
Teams that were predicted to make the playoffs, but didn’t: Augusta, Fargo, Philadelphia