Monday, July 28, 2014

Season 24 Power Rankings #1

A little late with these, my apologies!  Here's the power rankings for Season 24 through game 40.


Team  W L PREV    Comments
1 Atlanta  30 10 2 Taking back the top spot with elite play across the board
2 Cincinnati 28 12 16 New owner has the team playing their best for sure
3 Houston 24 16 4 Living up to the hype this season, offense is great
4 Dover 23 17 1 Putting up good numbers still, so can't count them out
5 Arizona 24 16 8 Offense is firing and the pitching is holding its own
6 San Juan 23 17 5 Pitching mediocre so far, but offense getting it done
7 Boston  25 15 7 Steady combination of good pitching and hitting so far
8 Charlotte  23 17 6 Playing well so far, looks like another strong season
9 Florida 23 17 11 Getting it done so far, yet numbers not quite elite yet
10 Buffalo  23 17 14 Pitching is really good, but offense a slight question mark
11 Salt Lake City 24 16 15 League's top pitching so far has them moving up quickly
12 Ottawa 24 16 22 Big jump, thanks to well balanced pitching and hitting
13 Trenton 22 18 23 Offense has been solid, pitching is just ok
14 Pittsburgh  21 19 12 Surprisingly high ERA for them, but still in contention
15 Pawtucket 18 22 3 Pitching has been roughed up early on, but they're good
16 Louisville 19 21 13 Getting a ton of offense, but giving up a lot of runs too
17 St. Louis 19 21 17 Numbers show they could make a move up later on
18 Austin  21 19 21 Better than expected start for them is a good sign
19 Texas 21 19 27 Pitching has been the key to their over .500 start
20 Colorado Springs 17 23 19 A little slump at the end, but numbers are pretty good
21 New York  20 20 25 Offense is a bit of a concern, but .500 record is good sign
22 Syracuse  20 20 26 Pitching hasn't been great, but they are decent overall
23 Durham  19 21 20 Offense is going to have to step it up to get back in it
24 Jacksonville 17 23 24 Pitching has been respectable, but not much offense yet
25 Tampa Bay  15 25 9 Rough start, but certainly capable of improving 
26 Los Angeles 15 25 10 Pitching hasn't gotten fully into gear yet, it looks like
27 Albuquerque 15 25 30 Rebuild is coming allong, the offense is pretty good
28 Salem 17 23 32 Pitching still isn't at the level to move them forward
29 Las Vegas 15 25 18 Haven't gotten much offense yet this season
30 Seattle  15 25 29 Not getting the pitching numbers you'd expect for Seattle
31 Philadelphia 10 30 31 It just hasn't come together for them quite yet
32 San Francisco 10 30 28 Pitching is surprisingly bad, and very little offense

Thursday, July 10, 2014

Season 24 Preseason Power Rankings

Season 24 is about to get under way, so it's time to check in with the preseason power rankings!  We had some excellent preseason insights from topoftheworl as well, that were quality additions to the blog.  Let's see how they compare!   At the top of the preseason rankings, we have the 3-time defending champion Dover.  The roster is a year older, but the same was said last season, and they came through.  Gotta show respect for the champs.  Coming in at #2 is Atlanta, probably the most talented team in Cobbfather on paper.  Another impressive season seems extremely likely.  #3 is Pawtucket, who emerged last season as a top AL team.  With the top offensive threat in the world and some quality Free Agent signings, it's not hard to see why.  #4 is Houston, who struck it big in Free Agency once again and looks to be loaded.  An upcoming San Juan team rounds out the top 5, as rawdk looks to have his team ready to contend again.  Here are the complete rankings, good luck to all in your openers!



Season 23

Team  W L    Comments
1 Dover 107 55 Getting older, but can 3peat champs be anywhere else?
2 Atlanta  108 54 Extremely talented roster that could easily win it all
3 Pawtucket 92 70 Coming off a great season, and active in Free Agency 
4 Houston 87 75 Loaded up in FA once again, so should be solid
5 San Juan 90 72 They've got a lot of youth, so should improve again
6 Charlotte  98 64 Great last season, but the AL is looking very tough
7 Boston  96 66 Aging roster and lost Almanzar, but still pretty good
8 Arizona 88 74 Looked good last season, and should be in it again 
9 Tampa Bay  89 73 Haselman is getting older, but still a very good team here
10 Los Angeles 88 74 Always in the mix with tremendous pitching staff
11 Florida 86 76 Should build on last season, Leiter was a nice add
12 Pittsburgh  86 76 Consisitently solid and looking to get back in the fold
13 Louisville 87 75 Nice offense, if the pitching improves, will be strong 
14 Buffalo  85 77 Loss of Hernandez hurts, but have very good pitching 
15 Salt Lake City 81 81 Looking to break out of the pack this season
16 Cincinnati 78 84 Added a couple of pieces, so they could improve
17 St. Louis 81 81 Very strong pitching is a plus, we'll see about the offense
18 Las Vegas 71 91 Ontiveros was a nice add, so improvement is possible
19 Colorado Springs 74 88 Management is confident in improvement this season
20 Durham  69 93 It's a tough division, but they did improve their pitching
21 Austin  82 80 A lot of roster movement, so we'll see how it works out
22 Ottawa 83 79 Lost some pieces, but they still a solid pitching staff
23 Trenton 77 85 Middle of the pack last season, so we'll see about them
24 Jacksonville 74 88 New ownership is still getting acquainted with the team
25 New York  78 84 Pitching was an issue last season, we'll see if it improves
26 Syracuse  77 85 Pretty average across the board, can they take next step?
27 Texas 80 82 With star slugger Riley, so could improve this season
28 San Francisco 64 98 Almanzar provides needed pitching help, good offense too
29 Seattle  69 93 Took steps forward, can they continue upward trend?
30 Albuquerque 58 104 Second year owner is still making team their own 
31 Philadelphia 55 107 A lot of youth, can they take a step forward this season?
32 Salem 55 107 Not sure about this team, but we think they'll be better

Monday, July 7, 2014

topoftheworl's Top 25 Pitchers - NL

The top 25 pitchers in the NL:


Name Team Raw Score
1 Douglas Banks Buffalo 3600.8
2 Norman LaPorta Houston 3487.5
3 Manuel Estrada Houston 3391.3
4 Vic Vizcaino Arizona 3380.0
5 Will Ogden Dover 3361.0
6 Antonio Ishida Buffalo 3337.0
7 Marvin Walsh Pittsburgh 3315.0
8 Davey Torrealba Texas 3309.0
9 Jim Goulet Texas 3294.5
10 Dioner Ontiveros Las Vegas 3270.0
11 Don Monahan Dover 3259.3
12 Destin Beirne Ottawa 3258.3
13 Dennis Saito Syracuse 3247.3
14 Artie Stone Arizona 3221.0
15 Terry Kramer Los Angeles 3203.8
16 Homer Butler Los Angeles 3198.3
17 Brent Voyles Arizona 3192.5
18 Sid Townsend Buffalo 3177.5
19 Bill Hermanson Philadelphia 3175.0
20 Chief King Pittsburgh 3168.0
21 Red Collins Florida 3125.0
22 Billy Cooper Houston 3116.0
23 Fausto De La Rosa Ottawa 3115.0
24 Houston Austin Los Angeles 3109.0
25 Clarence Poole Houston 3104.8

topoftheworl's Top 25 Hitters - NL

Now its the NL's turn.  First the top 25 hitters:




Projected 

Name Team RC
1 Willie Cerda Jacksonville 127.4
2 Pascual Hernandez Houston 126.6
3 Howard Greer Pittsburgh 122.3
4 Garrett Patrick Dover 121.0
5 Jerrod Griffiths Houston 119.8
6 Hootie Cookson Dover 119.8
7 Greg Riley Texas 119.7
8 Vic Crowe Ottawa 119.6
9 Abraham Tannehill Syracuse 118.2
10 Albert Pineda Dover 116.3
11 Albert Pineda Buffalo 115.2
12 Will Maxwell Houston 112.8
13 Dustan Jackson Houston 112.3
14 Benito Acosta Buffalo 111.4
15 Pepe Guillen Ottawa 111.2
16 Carlos Trevino Jacksonville 110.9
17 Aurelio Lima Syracuse 110.8
18 Tony Hujimoto Arizona 109.6
19 Luis Duran Salt Lake City 108.0
20 Stan Dickens Dover 107.9
21 Alex Mercedes Salt Lake City 106.1
22 Benny Franco Ottawa 106.0
23 Gary Harvey Florida 105.8
24 Victor Guzman Arizona 105.4
25 Vic Castro Arizona 104.3

topoftheworl's Top 25 Pitchers - AL

Top 25 AL pitchers.  Stamina was not given any weight in this assessment so RP's are right in there with SP's.  The "raw score" is just a ranking tool and does not equate to anything specific.


Name Team Raw Score
1 Tony Mota St. Louis 3479.25
2 Jayson Klesko Boston 3419
3 Trevor McQuillan Salem 3394.5
4 Aneury Tejeda Atlanta 3345.75
5 Thomas Hutchinson Atlanta 3344
6 Victor Almanzar San Francisco 3339
7 Ron Jefferson Boston 3307.25
8 Allen Cox Louisville 3284
9 Miguel Colon Trenton 3260
10 Alex Satou Pawtucket 3258.25
11 Clinton McNeil Durham 3243.5
12 Yeico Oliva Boston 3228.5
13 Julio Sanchez Tampa Bay 3228.25
14 Ron Gross Pawtucket 3217.75
15 Alberto Beltre Pawtucket 3213.25
16 Calvin Wanatabe Tampa Bay 3206.25
17 Gus Masaoka Atlanta 3205
18 James Haselman Tampa Bay 3177.5
19 Walt White Charlotte 3164.25
20 Antone O'Neill St. Louis 3164
21 Edgard Fernandez Albuquerque 3161
22 Lloyd Chiasson San Juan 3151.5
23 Kevin Kingland New York 3149
24 Jhoulys Olmedo Salem 3143
25 Hiram Ogawa St. Louis 3140.5

topoftheworl's Top 25 Hitters - AL

Here are the top 25 hitters in the AL.  Pure bats, not points for defense.  The second column is my estimate of their predicted runs created for the year.  Home ballpark has not been figured in.

-----This just in:  Albert Cruz is a BEAST!-----




Projected

Name Team RC
1 Albert Cruz Pawtucket   134.7  
2 Timothy Steinbach Atlanta 121.4
3 Enrique Garces Atlanta 120.8
4 Mendy Kondou Boston 120.3
5 Morgan Cerda Atlanta 120
6 Eugene Brantley Tampa Bay 117.5
7 Kendry Lunar Boston 114.4
8 Vic Park Atlanta 113.6
9 Crash Meacham Atlanta 113.2
10 Benjamin Delcarmen Cincinnati 111.8
11 Vladimir Troncoso San Juan 111.6
12 Neifi Gandarillas Louisville 111.5
13 Junior Roberts Charlotte 111
14 Alex Manto Atlanta 109.4
15 Joshua Hendrick San Juan 109.2
16 Theo Waters Pawtucket 108.3
17 Stubby Shaw Boston 107.7
18 Takumi Tanaka Salem 106.3
19 Joey Ryan Louisville 105.8
20 Joe Foster San Juan 104.6
21 Vern Connelly Louisville 103.6
22 Vinny Dickinson Atlanta 103.1
23 James Dillard Charlotte 101.6
24 Yuniesky Nieves San Juan 101.3
25 Brutus Henry    St. Louis    101.1

topoftheworl's Future Rankings

Future rankings

Since I am in the middle of a rebuild I decided to see how I am coming along.  I took every player at every level and scored all of them 25 or under.  This is a flawed system, of course, because my advanced scouting sucks.  However, in theory my advanced scouting should be inaccurate in a way that does not bias any one player or team.  I broke up prospects into 5 tiers.  Tire one are the truly elite and tier 5 probably should never make the majors.  Teams got the most points for a Tier 1 players and a tiny amount for a tier 4 prospect (with nothing for tier 5).  I did not make a distinction between ML and minors since we all run our teams differently.  The total points don't mean anything except giving me a final way to rank teams.

Rank Team Total Points
1 San Francisco 18
1 Austin 18
1 Buffalo 18
4 Colorado Springs 17.5
4 New York 17.5
6 Salt Lake City 17
7 San Juan 16.5
8 Florida 14.5
9 Jacksonville 12
9 Las Vegas 12
11 Atlanta 11
12 Salem 10.5
12 Cincinnati 10.5
12 Seattle 10.5
15 Trenton 10
16 Arizona 9.5
17 Charlotte 9
18 Albuquerque 8
18 Durham 8
20 Syracuse 7.5
21 Texas 6.5
22 Ottawa 6
22 Philadelphia 6
24 Houston 5.5
24 St. Louis 5.5
26 Boston 3.5
26 Los Angeles 3.5
28 Louisville 3
28 Pawtucket 3
28 Tampa Bay 3
31 Pittsburgh 2
32 Dover 1.5

Thoughts: No tears for Dover since they have won back-to-back. SF and Buffalo are projected to make the playoffs. Atlanta is 11th and the 2nd best team overall in my projections.